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Odds and predictions for Baker Mayfield’s new team

Leading as much as the 2022 NFL season, Post Action Betting will launch a playing preview for all 32 groups within the National Football League, masking the schedule, predictions, win whole over/underneath picks, and prop bets for each team. Today, we are going to cover the Carolina Panthers. Be certain to take a look at our Detroit Lions preview, printed yesterday.

Carolina Panthers (125/1 to win Super Bowl, Caesars)

2021 report: 5-12, 4th in NFC South

There’s no denying that the Carolina Panthers had been a large disappointment final year. With gifted playmakers Christian McCaffrey and D.J. Moore, and a younger and explosive protection, the Panthers ought to have been capable of do a lot better than a 5-12 report.

A couple of things plagued them. Firstly, the accidents to McCaffrey proceed to be a significant challenge. The star working back and engine of their offense has solely performed in a mixed 10 video games during the last two seasons. That’s not what Carolina anticipated once they rewarded him with a four-year, $64 million contract following the 2019 season.

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Their quarterback play, or lack thereof, was one other main purpose the Panthers struggled final year. Sam Darnold and his recent begin didn’t work out, and he performed in solely 11 video games as a consequence of accidents.

Now having traded for Baker Mayfield to probably remedy their quarterback points, and with McCaffrey slated for a healthy begin to the season, ought to the expectations be greater for the Panthers?

Panthers offseason strikes: Draft, trades, free agent signings, harm report

  • Traded a conditional fifth-round draft decide in 2024 for quarterback Baker Mayfield
  • Hired ex-Giants head coach Ben McAdoo as offensive coordinator
  • Signed OL Bradley Bozeman and Austin Corbett, DE Matt Ioannidis, punter Johnny Hekker. Re-signed CB Donte Jackson. Extended WR D.J. Moore.
  • Top 100 draft picks: OT Ikem Ekwonu (No. 6) and QB Matt Corral (No. 94)
Baker Mayfield at Panthers coaching camp
Getty Images

Carolina Panthers 2022 schedule

Week 1: vs. Cleveland Browns

Week 2: @ New York Giants

Week 3: vs. New Orleans Saints

Week 4: vs. Arizona Cardinals

Week 5: vs. San Francisco 49ers

Week 6: @ Los Angeles Rams

Week 7: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Week 8: @ Atlanta Falcons

Week 9: @ Cincinnati Bengals

Week 10: vs. Atlanta Falcons

Week 11: @ Baltimore Ravens

Week 12: vs. Denver Broncos

Week 13: BYE

Week 14: @ Seattle Seahawks

Week 15: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 16: vs. Detroit Lions

Week 17: @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Week 18: @ New Orleans Saints

NFL betting strains: Panthers win whole O/U

6.5 wins (FanDuel)

Did the Panthers do sufficient to compete as a shock playoff hopeful? Whether or not you assume Baker Mayfield is a very good quarterback, there isn’t any denying the truth that he presents a significant improve to what the Panthers have had underneath middle for a number of years now.

Last year basically deserves to be stricken from Mayfield’s résumé. He battled by means of quite a few accidents, together with labrum tears seemingly all season in his left shoulder. He missed video games for the primary time in his career and noticed his completion proportion, touchdowns, quarterback ranking, sacks taken and interceptions all development within the improper instructions.

Betting on the NFL?

Prior to an injury-riddled year, Mayfield regarded like a promising younger quarterback with a cannon for an arm that largely made good choices (though there’s nonetheless room to develop there). In 2020, Mayfield threw for 26 touchdowns and a career-low eight interceptions. That’ll do.

Mayfield additionally has by no means operated in an offense that isn’t starkly run-heavy. In 2020, his final healthy season, Cleveland averaged the fifth-most rush makes an attempt per recreation within the league.

Call me a Baker Believer, however I genuinely consider that Mayfield can present a degree of stability and playmaking to this offense that the Panthers have genuinely been missing.

They have skill-position gamers able to making performs with the ball of their palms and have a quick, athletic younger protection that may be disruptive. Do I feel they’re going to the playoffs? No, not but, however I do consider they will win greater than seven video games.

Carolina Panthers head coach Matt Rhule
Getty Images

Panthers win whole decide

Over 6.5 (+105, FanDuel)

Expert greatest bets, futures, and props

Mayfield Over 21.5 passing touchdowns (-112, FanDuel)

Speaking of anticipating Mayfield to have a bounce-back season, the road on his passing touchdowns is about far too low. In two of the three seasons previous to final year, Mayfield had thrown for at the very least 26 passing touchdowns — as acknowledged above, that was in probably the most run-heavy offenses within the NFL.

The Panthers present extra of a balanced offense for Mayfield to function in, sitting in the midst of the pack final year in passing play proportion (sixteenth) regardless of all of their points at quarterback.

Mayfield has extra pass-catching weapons at his disposal and might have a career excessive in cross makes an attempt. 22 is a low bar for Mayfield to hurdle on this offense.

Christian McCaffrey Comeback Payer of the Year (+800, FanDuel)

Christian McCaffrey as a value guess for Comeback Player of the Year. When I wrote that article, he was priced at +1000. That quantity has now dropped to +800. I nonetheless just like the guess, however you’re shedding out on value the longer you wait.

Christian McCaffrey
Getty Images

McCaffrey’s solely hurdle is accidents. When he was obtainable, McCaffrey’s numbers had been nonetheless there final season. He compiled 785 scrimmage yards in solely seven video games, doing so on a healthy 4.5 yards per carry whereas catching 37 of 41 targets. McCaffrey is an elite dual-threat working back. Without a notable quarterback coming back from a season-ending harm final year, the door is open for nearly anybody to take house this award with a powerful efficiency.